Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.001009 0.001143 0.001284 0.001444 0.001618 0.001803 0.002014
2024-12-15 0.000756 0.000936 0.001139 0.001383 0.001666 0.001982 0.002360
2024-12-22 0.000628 0.000827 0.001061 0.001353 0.001705 0.002111 0.002612
2024-12-29 0.000541 0.000753 0.001012 0.001347 0.001763 0.002258 0.002883
2025-01-05 0.000476 0.000696 0.000975 0.001346 0.001820 0.002397 0.003142
2025-01-12 0.000417 0.000639 0.000930 0.001330 0.001853 0.002503 0.003361
2025-01-19 0.000364 0.000585 0.000884 0.001305 0.001870 0.002587 0.003548
2025-01-26 0.000336 0.000562 0.000877 0.001332 0.001953 0.002753 0.003843
2025-02-02 0.000310 0.000540 0.000868 0.001352 0.002026 0.002909 0.004125
2025-02-09 0.000275 0.000500 0.000831 0.001331 0.002041 0.002984 0.004304
2025-02-16 0.000244 0.000462 0.000794 0.001306 0.002047 0.003047 0.004465
2025-02-23 0.000226 0.000444 0.000784 0.001320 0.002107 0.003185 0.004727
2025-03-02 0.000209 0.000428 0.000776 0.001336 0.002172 0.003331 0.005008
2025-03-09 0.000183 0.000393 0.000737 0.001303 0.002165 0.003376 0.005151
2025-03-16 0.000160 0.000360 0.000698 0.001267 0.002150 0.003409 0.005275
2025-03-23 0.000145 0.000340 0.000680 0.001264 0.002182 0.003508 0.005495
2025-03-30 0.000132 0.000323 0.000665 0.001262 0.002217 0.003611 0.005719
2025-04-06 0.000118 0.000303 0.000642 0.001247 0.002229 0.003681 0.005898
2025-04-13 0.000105 0.000281 0.000615 0.001224 0.002227 0.003728 0.006044
2025-04-20 0.000099 0.000276 0.000617 0.001249 0.002302 0.003892 0.006360
2025-04-27 0.000093 0.000269 0.000616 0.001269 0.002369 0.004044 0.006662
2025-05-04 0.000083 0.000251 0.000593 0.001248 0.002369 0.004095 0.006817
2025-05-11 0.000073 0.000234 0.000569 0.001224 0.002362 0.004134 0.006954